I see Federer as favorite to win this year's Australian Open. Federer has an easy quarter with opponents like Monfils, his countryman and friend Wawrinka and the biggest thread, Roddick. In the semifinals, players like Djokovic, Berdych, Davydenko and Verdasco can meet Federer. These four players have equal chances to make it into the semifinals in my opinion, but I don't see any of them to raise Federer any trouble. On the other half of the table the favorites to make it to the final are Nadal and Murray. I give credit to Murray here, he has to defend his points won here last year and Nadal's game from this year's start didn't impressed me at all, he looked tired and vulnerable, Federer could defeat him playing average.
My pick: Roger Federer .
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